'BLIND' FAULT PUTS HAITI AT NEW EARTHQUAKE RISK
The Miami Herald, BY CURTIS MORGAN,Posted on Sun, Oct. 24, 2010
The earthquake that left Haiti in ruins and killed more than 200,000
people may not have been the ``big one'' and almost certainly wasn't the
last one.
New studies published Sunday point to a previously unmapped ``blind''
fault as the likely trigger for the catastrophe nine months ago and found
no evidence it had eased more than two centuries of increasing seismic
strain along the island's major pressure point, which geologists call the
Enriquillo-Plantain Garden fault zone.
If anything, the studies conclude, Haiti now faces a heightened risk of
repeat quakes along the Enriquillo fault -- particularly near the heavily
damaged, densely populated capital of Port-au-Prince.
``Even if this earthquake did not occur along the entire fault, it's
certainly an indication that stress has built up in the area,'' said
Andrew Freed, a Purdue University geophysicist and co-author of one of
several papers published online in Nature Geoscience. ``It's locked and
loaded. My concern is that we are in the beginning of new cycles of
earthquakes.''
What scientists stress they can't pinpoint with certainity is when or how
frequently temblors might again shake the devastated country. Before the
January's 7.0 magnitude quake, Haiti was last rocked by significant
earthquakes in 1751 and 1770.
But University of Miami earthquake expert Timothy Dixon, who co-authored
another study in the journal, said the series of quakes in similar
``strike-slip'' fault zones in places like Sumatra and Turkey strongly
suggest it won't take centuries for the next big quake.
Typically, he said, other large quakes follow within decades and at
either end of the fault zone, where earlier quakes can increase tensions
between massive, slow-moving tectonic plates. The sudden, violent shifts
that finally relieve that strain are what generate the intense shaking of
an earthquake.
``There is another shoe waiting to drop at one or both ends of the
rupture zone,'' said Dixon, a professor of geophysics at UM's Rosenstiel
School of Marine and Atmospheric Science. ```We can't say very much about
when that other shoe will drop. It could be 100 years from now or it
could be next month.''
The studies, published in a special edition of Nature Geoscience focused
on the Jan. 12 quake, are among the first peer-reviewed research on the
quake's origins.
The findings echo concerns many geologists had raised before and after
the quake. They also underline the difficult rebuilding challenges that
face Haiti, where aging, weakly re-enforced and poorly constructed
buildings multipled the death toll and left 1.5 million people homeless
and living in tents.
Hispaniola, the island Haiti shares with the Dominican Republic, sits
atop two major faults -- borders between the North American and Caribbean
tectonic plates, which grind against each other as they move about one
inch per year. The 200-plus years of pent-up strain in the Enriquillo
fault, which runs from Jamaica east through southern Haiti and the
capital city into the Dominican Republic's Enriquillo Valley, has long
been considered a trouble zone.
Dixon and colleagues authored a paper in 1998 warning of serious seismic
instability in Haiti centered along the Enriquillo fault line. In 2008,
Freed and Purdue colleague Eric Calais, a study co-author on leave in
Port-au-Prince to serve as science advisor to the United Nations on
Haiti's recovery plans, produced another study predicting an impending
7.2 quake near Port-au-Prince.
That's why geologists initially made the Enriquillo fault the prime
suspect.
But months of field observations and measurements taken from global
positioning systems, satellite images and radar-and-light ranging
systems, found little change along the main fault line.
For one thing, despite widespread structural damage, there were no major
surface ruptures or sideways landscape shifts that are telltale signs of
quakes in ``strike-slip'' faults. The patterns of deformation instead
pointed to a parallel, previously unknown fracture running along the
coast, now dubbed the Leogane fault line.
Anthony Crone, a research geologist with the U.S. Geological Survey in
Denver who co-wrote one of the studies, said it's not unusual for an
earthquake to reveal a ``blind,'' meaning unknown, fault in boundaries
between tectonic plates that can stretch for a hundred miles or more.
``There is a lot of squeezing and grinding and crunching going on,'' he
said.
``It's not totally surprising that you are going to have much larger
features in these very complex structures.''
Though confined underground, the seismic ruptures were powerful enough to
raise coastal elevations along a 50-to 60-mile stretch west of Carrefour,
Crone said.
Researchers found small, near-shore corals that normally grow no higher
than low tide levels suddenly exposed above the waves -- in some spots
thrust as much as two feet higher.
The consensus view is that Enriquillo fault remains -- as Freed put it --
``locked and loaded'' and a serious seismic hazard. The risk is
particularly pronounced in sections east of the epicenter that are
closest to Port-au-Prince.
Dixon stressed that the studies amount to a preliminary investigation and
it will take more research to definitely determine the origin of the
quake. There is the possibility, for instance, that some strain may have
eased in deep, unobservable sections of the Enriquillo.
If there is a positive message from the work, he said, it's that the
country has time to prepare for the next one.
``You probably have a few decades to enforce your building codes and
build stronger and better.'' But, scientists cautioned, when the
Enriquillo fault inevitably goes, it could generate far more force than
the January quake.
``This was a small event,'' Freed said. ``We are talking much larger. The
historic earthquakes were 7.5 or 8, orders of magnitude more.''
Under the complex algorithm of the scale, an 8.0 quake would produce 30
times the energy of a 7.0 quake. A 9.0 would generate 30 times that --
meaning 900 times stronger than what Haiti endured. Researchers stressed
they were not being alarmist but simply reporting the hard facts of the
country's unstable seismology.
``Unless we've just really got it wrong about what has happened in the
past,'' Freed said, ``it's not going to be two centuries until the next
one. It's going to be a matter of decades.''
International faith-based humanitarian organization specializing in small-scale, grass-roots, sustainable solutions for disenfranchised, abandoned, and exploited people.
Monday, October 25, 2010
'BLIND' FAULT PUTS HAITI AT NEW EARTHQUAKE RISK
'BLIND' FAULT PUTS HAITI AT NEW EARTHQUAKE RISK
The earthquake that left Haiti in ruins and killed more than 200,000
people may not have been the ``big one'' and almost certainly wasn't the
last one.
New studies published Sunday point to a previously unmapped ``blind''
fault as the likely trigger for the catastrophe nine months ago and found
no evidence it had eased more than two centuries of increasing seismic
strain along the island's major pressure point, which geologists call the
Enriquillo-Plantain Garden fault zone.
If anything, the studies conclude, Haiti now faces a heightened risk of
repeat quakes along the Enriquillo fault -- particularly near the heavily
damaged, densely populated capital of Port-au-Prince.
``Even if this earthquake did not occur along the entire fault, it's
certainly an indication that stress has built up in the area,'' said
Andrew Freed, a Purdue University geophysicist and co-author of one of
several papers published online in Nature Geoscience. ``It's locked and
loaded. My concern is that we are in the beginning of new cycles of
earthquakes.''
What scientists stress they can't pinpoint with certainity is when or how
frequently temblors might again shake the devastated country. Before the
January's 7.0 magnitude quake, Haiti was last rocked by significant
earthquakes in 1751 and 1770.
But University of Miami earthquake expert Timothy Dixon, who co-authored
another study in the journal, said the series of quakes in similar
``strike-slip'' fault zones in places like Sumatra and Turkey strongly
suggest it won't take centuries for the next big quake.
Typically, he said, other large quakes follow within decades and at
either end of the fault zone, where earlier quakes can increase tensions
between massive, slow-moving tectonic plates. The sudden, violent shifts
that finally relieve that strain are what generate the intense shaking of
an earthquake.
``There is another shoe waiting to drop at one or both ends of the
rupture zone,'' said Dixon, a professor of geophysics at UM's Rosenstiel
School of Marine and Atmospheric Science. ```We can't say very much about
when that other shoe will drop. It could be 100 years from now or it
could be next month.''
The studies, published in a special edition of Nature Geoscience focused
on the Jan. 12 quake, are among the first peer-reviewed research on the
quake's origins.
The findings echo concerns many geologists had raised before and after
the quake. They also underline the difficult rebuilding challenges that
face Haiti, where aging, weakly re-enforced and poorly constructed
buildings multipled the death toll and left 1.5 million people homeless
and living in tents.
Hispaniola, the island Haiti shares with the Dominican Republic, sits
atop two major faults -- borders between the North American and Caribbean
tectonic plates, which grind against each other as they move about one
inch per year. The 200-plus years of pent-up strain in the Enriquillo
fault, which runs from Jamaica east through southern Haiti and the
capital city into the Dominican Republic's Enriquillo Valley, has long
been considered a trouble zone.
Dixon and colleagues authored a paper in 1998 warning of serious seismic
instability in Haiti centered along the Enriquillo fault line. In 2008,
Freed and Purdue colleague Eric Calais, a study co-author on leave in
Port-au-Prince to serve as science advisor to the United Nations on
Haiti's recovery plans, produced another study predicting an impending
7.2 quake near Port-au-Prince.
That's why geologists initially made the Enriquillo fault the prime
suspect.
But months of field observations and measurements taken from global
positioning systems, satellite images and radar-and-light ranging
systems, found little change along the main fault line.
For one thing, despite widespread structural damage, there were no major
surface ruptures or sideways landscape shifts that are telltale signs of
quakes in ``strike-slip'' faults. The patterns of deformation instead
pointed to a parallel, previously unknown fracture running along the
coast, now dubbed the Leogane fault line.
Anthony Crone, a research geologist with the U.S. Geological Survey in
Denver who co-wrote one of the studies, said it's not unusual for an
earthquake to reveal a ``blind,'' meaning unknown, fault in boundaries
between tectonic plates that can stretch for a hundred miles or more.
``There is a lot of squeezing and grinding and crunching going on,'' he
said.
``It's not totally surprising that you are going to have much larger
features in these very complex structures.''
Though confined underground, the seismic ruptures were powerful enough to
raise coastal elevations along a 50-to 60-mile stretch west of Carrefour,
Crone said.
Researchers found small, near-shore corals that normally grow no higher
than low tide levels suddenly exposed above the waves -- in some spots
thrust as much as two feet higher.
The consensus view is that Enriquillo fault remains -- as Freed put it --
``locked and loaded'' and a serious seismic hazard. The risk is
particularly pronounced in sections east of the epicenter that are
closest to Port-au-Prince.
Dixon stressed that the studies amount to a preliminary investigation and
it will take more research to definitely determine the origin of the
quake. There is the possibility, for instance, that some strain may have
eased in deep, unobservable sections of the Enriquillo.
If there is a positive message from the work, he said, it's that the
country has time to prepare for the next one.
``You probably have a few decades to enforce your building codes and
build stronger and better.'' But, scientists cautioned, when the
Enriquillo fault inevitably goes, it could generate far more force than
the January quake.
``This was a small event,'' Freed said. ``We are talking much larger. The
historic earthquakes were 7.5 or 8, orders of magnitude more.''
Under the complex algorithm of the scale, an 8.0 quake would produce 30
times the energy of a 7.0 quake. A 9.0 would generate 30 times that --
meaning 900 times stronger than what Haiti endured. Researchers stressed
they were not being alarmist but simply reporting the hard facts of the
country's unstable seismology.
``Unless we've just really got it wrong about what has happened in the
past,'' Freed said, ``it's not going to be two centuries until the next
one. It's going to be a matter of decades.''
Monday, September 20, 2010
Bright Eyes
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Naked Babies
The long Journey from selling most of our possessions last summer to moving into our own house is almost finished. Kristie is so ready to have her own space and decorate, paint, spackle, or whatever her little heart desires. We have traded in our larger house for a smaller one… out of necessity. We are happy with it. The kids' rooms are painted and today we will start on the master bedroom. The house is still empty of furniture but we will soon remedy that… little by little. We were quoted $ 1000 US for a table and chair set by a carpenter… another case of the Haitian perception that all whites are rich.
My full time job seems to be setting up the house and working in Leogane two/three days per week. The heat just drains you. We probably sleep more than 10 per night, but the exhaustion is a constant companion regardless.
The food is great. We have been gorging ourselves on tropical fruit, avocados' (huge), coconuts, sugar cane, and the wide variations of rice and beans, peas, chicken, beef, fish… it has been good in that regard. Haitians know how to make food. I was hoping to lose weight.
People in need are taking its toll on our finances. I am afraid that I am not very good at turning aside from the problems of people we know here. Their kids can't afford to go to school, children are being shipped off to stay with relatives, and people are sick and need medicine. It is never-ending. I have to be more firm, but how? The only recourse I have is to rest on the fact that we truly don't have the means to help everyone. Case in point… I was in Leogane when a 15 year old boy comes up to me and timidly calls me by name. He said, "Do you have any work for me… I would like to go to school, but I have no money to do so. It has already been two years that I have been trying to find a way to return to school…" I sat there and considered his situation. It would probably cost $400 per year to send him to school. I have $400 and could pay for him to do just that. He looked like a nice young man. The problem is that there are thousands and thousands of kids just like him… some of them I already know. How can I give this kid money before some of the kids with whom I already have a relationship. Even if I could spare the money, it I spent all of my time trying to give kids work, or pay for their school, I couldn't live here. That being said… it still affects me to hear their stories. I care, and I would like to do something about it, but what? And so… I tell him to pray about it and I will too.
As I was rounding a trail near a small village, in the Leogane area, I came across the roof of a house resting on a twisted mess of rubble. At the far end of the roof was a tarp where an elderly woman was staying for lack of a better place. It was her house. Tyler Newman was with me. This little old woman walked out from behind the rubble with no clothes on her upper body. This is something I am used to seeing, so I merely talked to the woman and asked her about her situation. Tyler was looking intently away from the woman and seemed to be… almost holding his breath. She told me that she had several children, but none came to help her. She was still nursing an injury to her leg from the earthquake. I told her that I would try to return if I could do something for her. We are building a house for her sister already, but this old woman is not a part of any program. We shall see what happens for her.
We hope to soon have an address to send to you. We can accept care packages, but keep in mind that if it can fit into a large manila envelope it used to be that it was easier to get it without paying customs. All boxes will cause us to pay a customs fee, which is fine… just so you know. It is totally great to receive much needed items regardless of customs fees.
The kids are doing well. Naomi was bumped up into 9th grade for math, Brendan is in Kristie's class and will not raise his hand for anything, and Noelle is making friends fast, as she always does. They miss their friends from back home. The baby is having a good time, though he does not sleep well at night. He spends most of his time here mostly naked (with a diaper).
All is well…
In His hands,
Shane, Kris and Kids
Tuesday, August 3, 2010
On the Road
Please look for news on their blog: http://www.mattenleys-in.haiti.blogspot.com
Saturday, July 24, 2010
Tuesday, July 6, 2010
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Freelanthropy
Mercy League International toolbar and homepage
Every search sends a penny to Mercy League. Please forward this link to your contacts...
We appreciate your time. Every little bit helps.
MLI Volunteer
Saturday, June 12, 2010
Moments of Reflection in a Crowded Airport
Here I am sitting in the Miami airport... again. This trip is only about four days, but it still takes a deep breath and some mental preparation. Haiti is a tough place to go... especially when you are emotionally invested in the people there.
I have the privilege of accompanying a friend, Scott Long (Mission E4) on a parlay with Samaritan's Purse about a sub-contract to help with the transitional housing problem for displaced families. It would be a part-time stint for me so that I can rely less on donations and more on my MA Degree. Our plans for the discipleship training school will have to begin slow and grow as we find funds. The most important thing now is to get ourselves to Haiti.
I will also be looking for a house to rent and negotiate a price and secure it for Aug. 1st. We need to have a home to come to...
If you would like to check out the latest, go to http://www.mattenleys-in-haiti.blogspot.com
Thanks for reading,
Shane
Thursday, May 20, 2010
New Blog: Mattenleys in Haiti
Dear Friends,
There are new happenings afoot. Many good things are coming to fruition for Mercy League. Please take a moment to read up on a few news items.
Change in the Ranks:
Mercy League International has undergone some changes in the way that we operate. We are reorganizing the board and reinventing roles for our leadership. Shane Mattenley will step down as director in the coming weeks and will be replaced by person... whose name has not yet been released. This person is famous in the state of Oregon, and is known for his "love" of young people and coffee.
Our Missionaries from China:
We were surprised by an opportunity presented to us to visit with our partner in China. He and his wife are doing amazing things in their work in Asia with orphans. This couple cares for the children that other groups and orphanages do not consider fit for adoption. Some orphanages that cater to the handicapped will not accept children who are deemed terminally ill or unable to be rehabilitated. Our friends/partners take these children and give them a chance at life. Many times they are the last chance these children have, and sometime they have been too late to save the most neglected. Details about names and places have to be kept anonymous because of the delicate nature of working in this country. We were glad to be able to help them with some gas money and breakfast on their way through the Eugene/Springfield area. If you are interested in more information about this ministry, please contact me at admin@mercyleague.org.
A New Blog: Mattenleys in Haiti
Kristie and Shane Mattenley are moving their family back to Haiti after an absence of more than seven years. They weighed the costs of shipping their belongings to Florida en route to Haiti, but realized that it was about the same cost if they could purchase a good used van and trailer... and drive to Florida. Tonight this plan became more of a reality as they picked up the vehicle from the Kelsay family, who were selling their vehicle on an online service. It was the perfect vehicle for their needs, and the proceeds for the vehicle went to fund (in part) a high school trip to Florida for a health careers class going to nationals from Willamette High School. Pat Kelsey, a school teacher, is the sponsor for the team. Kristie and her stood in front of the van tonight and enjoyed a moment of gratification knowing that the sale of this van gave created a double blessing... One for our needs to transport our family and belonging to Florida, and continued use in Haiti for work teams and family transportation. The second blessing was, of course, to the students of the school.
To subscribe to this Blog: Mattenleys in Haiti click on the link.
New Blog: Mattenleys in Haiti
Thursday, May 6, 2010
Other Work in Haiti: Nolan Scheid
Wednesday, May 5, 2010
Clarity
Clarity | ||||
Dear friends, Someone asked us recently, “Where is Mercy League going?” Our response was, among other things… “Mercy League is two things in its essence. First it is the church being the church, and second, it teaches people how to be the church.” What do I mean by that? Ok… I don’t know how “religious” or sensitive to the concept of Christianity you are, but I need to inform you that much of the North American church persona is a misnomer. (That’s a tongue twister). I could step up onto my soap-box and begin a superfluous rant into all the problems of the church today… but rather, let me point you to how the Church began: All the believers devoted themselves to the apostles’ teaching, and to fellowship, and to sharing in meals (including the Lord’s Supper), and to prayer. A deep sense of awe came over them all, and the apostles performed many miraculous signs and wonders. And all the believers met together in one place and shared everything they had. They sold their property and possessions and shared the money with those in need. They worshiped together at the Temple each day, met in homes for the Lord’s Supper, and shared their meals with great joy and generosity all the while praising God and enjoying the goodwill of all the people. And each day the Lord added to their fellowship those who were being saved. ~ Acts 2 It has always been the world against the church; it is the system of the world to be about me, my needs, and my contentment. Some people say that the primary goal of North Americans is to “live a painless life if ease.” I tend to agree. Many people ask why we do what we do. The answer: because we never again want to fall asleep, enticed by the charms of Canada and the United States. It is a really comfortable place to live… all of us individualists building our personal kingdoms. The church is all about Christ, who teaches about selflessness and self sacrifice because of the hope we have in eternity. Instead I see a North American church that is empty on Super Bowl Sunday, and full on Easter Sunday. Even that is a misnomer, because as if being somewhere on a Sunday morning is what Christianity is all about. It is a lifestyle of love that permeates every part of your life. It is about giving and receiving nothing back. It is about losing in this world and winning in the next. It is not about getting what you deserve… it’s about not getting what you deserve. …living a life of gratitude toward God |
Painting of Rural Haitian Market
Crow High School Tap Tap
Jessica and her ill Mother
Saturday, April 24, 2010
A Land of Widows and Orphans
Our little baby with her crackers |
What constitutes an orphan? Is it simply a parent-less child? What about the children who are left to raise themselves and run the streets day and night without care and concern from their (single) parents? There is an incredible disconnect between parents and their children in this country. Girls are not protected and boys are not taught how to be true men.... men who care for their family. I see that there is love between parent/s and their children, but it is at arms length. Children are fodder for this country. I can't stand it.
Most of the boys that are in my life here have never known a "father." They seem so anxious to hear about how to go about caring for their significant others "girlfriends" and "fiances." I speak the works of the Bible to them about what it means to be a husband and father. How to treat the women in their lives (mothers, sisters, wives, etc...). They are anxious to learn. I will perform a wedding on Monday for an engaged couple. They are going to have a baby in October.
Shane helping cook at the Orphanage |
Children at the Orphanage |